Counterparty
A company you have a contract with. It’s visible and usually well modelled.
In a connected world, risk can reach you from further away than ever.
The risk that breaks you starts four tiers away.
risMicThinker, our live risk-forecasting platform, uncovers hidden risks several tiers deep in your supply network and forecasts how they would reach you.
- Financial
- Regulatory
- Supply
- Operational
- Contagion path
You can see your suppliers, but you remain blind to theirs.
You know your direct suppliers and counterparties. You have the contracts, the scorecards, and a team that can name every one of them. You cannot see beyond that.
Dependencies don’t stop at tier one, and neither do shocks. What halts your operations is rarely a company you chose. It’s one your supplier’s supplier chose, several tiers out of sight.
Do you know what your supplier’s supplier depends on?
- 50%of global risk experts expect a turbulent or stormy world in the next two years. Only 1% of them expect calm.WEF, 2026 (opens in a new tab)
- 42%of companies have a view of supplier risk that reaches beyond tier one.McKinsey, 2025 (opens in a new tab)
- 85%of supply-chain risks and critical incidents occur at tier 2–4 suppliers.Sphera, 2025 (opens in a new tab)
- 80%+of large European firms are only three steps or fewer from a Chinese rare-earth producer.ECB, 2025 (opens in a new tab)
Carl Zeiss SMT → ASML → TSMC → NVIDIA → You
Every leading-edge chip is printed on lithography machines that only one company in the world can build. That company relies on a single supplier for the optics inside them.
ASML’s own annual report to US regulators (opens in a new tab) says that without that supplier it “would effectively cease to be able to conduct our business.”
If your business runs on AI compute, that optics maker is four tiers from you. Few along the chain are watching that far. risMicThinker looks further still.
Three different risks. Most tools give you one number.
Most risk tools blend three kinds of exposure into a single score. Under stress, they behave completely differently.
Correlation
A company whose ups and downs tend to match yours. That’s a pattern in past data, not a cause.
Dependency
A company whose failure stops you, whether or not you’ve ever heard of it. There’s no contract and often no awareness.
We keep these risks separate and focus on dependency, the risk that stops operations and the one existing tools miss.
What you get
A clear view of the deep risk that can impact you, and what to act on first.
Your hidden dependency network
The companies, sites and assets your business operations rely on, several tiers deep and linked by supply, financial, regulatory and operational ties. It includes those you have no contract with.
Risk forecasts, anywhere in the chain
risMicThinker anticipates where and when hazards and disruptions are likely to emerge, at any tier, and traces how they would cascade until they reach you, with likely impact shown as an honest range.
A ranked action list
Exposures are ordered by severity, each with its path attached, ready for your board, auditors or regulator.
Live, not a snapshot
It keeps watching your network and updates as conditions change.
- See how it works
Tailored to your sector.
We tailor risMicThinker to what counts as a dependency in your sector, and to the shocks that matter most to it.
See your own network, several tiers deep.
Book a demo, and we’ll run risMicThinker on your business. You’ll see the full network that can impact you and where your most serious exposures sit.
To go further, our Enterprise plan brings in your own data under NDA, so risMicThinker reaches deeper into your network and sharpens every result.